Scenario one
In this scenario, internet prices are cut, its infrastructure and coverage are expanded and internet laws and regulations are modernized:
Lower prices lead to higher internet penetration rate covering 50 percent of the population by the end of 2016 across governorates and income groups leading to more e-inclusion...
Businesses, especially SMEs and entrepreneurs conduct more online commercial activities e.g. online export, resulting in increased economic activity (a 1 percent increase in electronic retails leads to LE 200 million increase in GDP
Access to information is enhanced increasing productivity and efficiency of sales with a positive effect on competitiveness.
E-Government services become more effective by reaching the majority of Egyptians leading to less bureaucracy and corruption.
Scenario two
In this scenario, internet prices, related laws and regulations and coverage remain unchanged :
Egypt’s internet penetration rate remains at 34 percent, currently ranked 68^ globally falling behind UAE (10), Kuwait (27) and Lebanon (38).
Outdated laws related to the use of internet (such as e-signature and intellectual property laws) hinder potential growth of e-commerce that currently represents 0.3 percent of retail spending on average .
Access to information remains limited with negative implications to both productivity and sales, depriving the economy of potential access to a wider market .
E-Government remains limited to a small segment of the population, while the majority continues to be served by a system that lacks transparency and poor accountability .
Internet users as a percent of total population.
Announced by Minister of Communications and Information Technology on 16 July 2015.
ECES calculations based on Egypt ICT Sector Strategy (2020), Ministry of Communications and Information Technology .
Source: Global Information Technology Report 2015, World Economic Forum .
Source: Egypt at a Crossroads: How the Internet is Transforming Egypt’s Economy, The Boston Consulting group, November 2012.
